Cesena 2-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
11%
9.22
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.34
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.77/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.32
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
Crosses 11.1
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.05.2006 Cesena Cesena 4-1 HT 4-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
10.12.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTB
26.03.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
26.10.2004 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2-0
AWAY Catanzaro
1.74 xG 0.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
244 Passes 539
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena got the better of Catanzaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cesena had 35% of the ball to Catanzaro's 65%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.74 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cesena and 1.50 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Cesena 2-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cesena 47%, draw 26%, Catanzaro 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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