Juve Stabia 1-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
12%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.71
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
9%
5.64
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.01
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.67/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.60
+15% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.5 Crosses 16.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-4 HT 0-3 Mantova Mantova İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-0
AWAY Mantova
1.14 xG 0.60
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
172 Passes 451
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia edged past Mantova 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 33% of the ball to Mantova's 67%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.14 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Mantova?

Juve Stabia 1-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 44%, draw 28%, Mantova 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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