Juve Stabia 1-4 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.7
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.59/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.47
+21% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-4
AWAY Mantova
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova ran out comfortable winners over Juve Stabia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Mantova made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 51% of the ball to Mantova's 49%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Mantova?

Juve Stabia 1-4 Mantova in the Italy - Serie C on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 40%, draw 25%, Mantova 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5
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