Pescara 1-3 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.51/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.34
+2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventus II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Juventus II Juventus II 4-3 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
02.09.2023 Pescara Pescara 3-1 HT 3-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-3
AWAY Juventus II
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II saw off Pescara 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pescara had 53% of the ball to Juventus II's 47%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Pescara and 2.50 for Juventus II.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Juventus II?

Pescara 1-3 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pescara 46%, draw 24%, Juventus II 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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