Juventus II 4-3 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.88/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.89
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pescara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Pescara Pescara 3-1 HT 3-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus II
4-3
AWAY Pescara
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juventus II vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II edged past Pescara 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventus II had 50% of the ball to Pescara's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Juventus II vs Pescara?

Juventus II 4-3 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus II vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juventus II 26%, draw 28%, Pescara 46%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5
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