Renate 3-1 Fiorenzuola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.51/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.08
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Fiorenzuola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2023 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
01.02.2022 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
04.09.2021 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 2-2 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
3-1
AWAY Fiorenzuola
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renate vs Fiorenzuola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate got the better of Fiorenzuola 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Renate as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 44% of the ball to Fiorenzuola's 56%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renate and 0.67 for Fiorenzuola.

What was the final score of Renate vs Fiorenzuola?

Renate 3-1 Fiorenzuola in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Fiorenzuola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Renate 49%, draw 25%, Fiorenzuola 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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