Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
37.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
0.89/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.99
-41% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Legnago Salus
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 4-0 HT 3-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-1
AWAY Legnago Salus
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo and Legnago Salus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 48% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 52%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Legnago Salus?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 41%, draw 29%, Legnago Salus 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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