Sassari Torres 3-2 Recanatese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

Sassari Torres
3-2 HT 2-1
Recanatese
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Sassari Torres vs Recanatese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
11%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sassari Torres v Recanatese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Recanatese EU Bookmakers 19%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +26%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.60
+16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Sassari Torres vs Recanatese Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Recanatese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12 Corners 3
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Recanatese Recanatese 1-2 HT 0-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
28.01.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 1-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
24.09.2022 Recanatese Recanatese 0-2 HT 0-2 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Recanatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres edged past Recanatese 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sassari Torres and 0.67 for Recanatese.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Recanatese?

Sassari Torres 3-2 Recanatese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Recanatese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 59%, draw 22%, Recanatese 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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