Atalanta II 1-1 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.57
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.42/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Legnago Salus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2024 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
20.10.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-0 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-1
AWAY Legnago Salus
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II and Legnago Salus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atalanta II had 50% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 50%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atalanta II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atalanta II and 0.50 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Legnago Salus?

Atalanta II 1-1 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 45%, draw 29%, Legnago Salus 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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