Triestina 1-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.39/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.97
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-1D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
09.12.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.04.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.12.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Triestina vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and GIANA Erminio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Triestina had 33% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 67%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Triestina and 0.75 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Triestina vs GIANA Erminio?

Triestina 1-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Triestina 43%, draw 28%, GIANA Erminio 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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