GIANA Erminio 0-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
0.93/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.96
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Triestina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.04.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.12.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
0-1
AWAY Triestina
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina squeezed past GIANA Erminio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Triestina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 55% of the ball to Triestina's 45%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.67 for Triestina.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Triestina?

GIANA Erminio 0-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 39%, draw 28%, Triestina 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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