Olbia 1905 0-3 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.01/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.33
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olbia 1905
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Pescara
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Pescara Pescara 4-0 HT 3-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
12.03.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-2 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
31.10.2021 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
19.08.2021 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olbia 1905
0-3
AWAY Pescara
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olbia 1905 vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara cruised past Olbia 1905 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Olbia 1905 had 30% of the ball to Pescara's 70%, shots finished 8-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Olbia 1905 and 2.25 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Olbia 1905 vs Pescara?

Olbia 1905 0-3 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olbia 1905 vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olbia 1905 30%, draw 26%, Pescara 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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