Fermana vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fermana v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals
Fermana vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Fermana
İTC
1-1
HT 0-0
Fermana
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Lucchese
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Fermana
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Lucchese
İTC
Fermana 2-1 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics
Fermana squeezed past Lucchese 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Fermana made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Fermana had 51% of the ball to Lucchese's 49%, shots finished 17-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fermana had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Fermana and 0.20 for Lucchese.
What was the final score of Fermana vs Lucchese?
Fermana 2-1 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fermana vs Lucchese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fermana 32%, draw 30%, Lucchese 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lucchese), Under 2.5 went the other way.