US Latina 1-2 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.08/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.53
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
12.03.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
06.11.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-2 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
12.02.2022 US Latina US Latina 3-1 HT 2-1 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
03.10.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 3-1 HT 2-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
22.08.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-2
AWAY Torre Neapolis
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis edged past US Latina 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was US Latina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, US Latina had 59% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 41%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torre Neapolis led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for US Latina and 1.33 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Torre Neapolis?

US Latina 1-2 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split US Latina 43%, draw 28%, Torre Neapolis 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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