Virtus Entella vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus Entella v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
Virtus Entella vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
0-3
HT 0-3
SPAL
İTB
2-2
HT 2-2
Virtus Entella
İTB
Virtus Entella 1-2 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics
SPAL nicked a narrow win over Virtus Entella 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Virtus Entella had 52% of the ball to SPAL's 48%, shots finished 11-5.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SPAL led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.20 for SPAL.
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs SPAL?
Virtus Entella 1-2 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs SPAL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 44%, draw 32%, SPAL 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.