Pineto 1-2 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.40/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
+20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
262 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Juventus II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 2-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-2
AWAY Juventus II
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II squeezed past Pineto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 47% of the ball to Juventus II's 53%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Juventus II?

Pineto 1-2 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pineto 29%, draw 28%, Juventus II 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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