Catanzaro 4-2 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.89
X/2
12%
6.68
X/X
16%
3.8
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.23
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.27
+23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.0 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Cesena
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
0.88 xG 1.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
539 Passes 244
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.08.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.05.2006 Cesena Cesena 4-1 HT 4-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
10.12.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTB
26.03.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
26.10.2004 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
4-2
AWAY Cesena
1.42 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
323 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro saw off Cesena 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 45% of the ball to Cesena's 55%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.42 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Catanzaro and 2.80 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cesena?

Catanzaro 4-2 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 42%, draw 29%, Cesena 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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