Cittadella 0-2 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.35
2-3 Goals
33%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.15
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
8%
9.24
X/2
18%
4.22
X/X
17%
3.84
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.42
2/X
4%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.66
-21% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +82%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
23.0 Crosses 15.2
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spezia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.92 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 355
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Spezia Spezia 5-0 HT 3-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
17.02.2024 Spezia Spezia 4-2 HT 2-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
23.12.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 4-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
28.10.2020 Cittadella Cittadella 0-2 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTK
19.01.2020 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
24.08.2019 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-2
AWAY Spezia
0.89 xG 2.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
249 Passes 306
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia got the better of Cittadella 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cittadella had 46% of the ball to Spezia's 54%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.89 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cittadella and 2.67 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Spezia?

Cittadella 0-2 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 25%, draw 25%, Spezia 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
1 Feb 2025
17:00 Sampdoria vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
17:00 Sassuolo vs Juve Stabia Analysis →
17:00 Catanzaro vs Cesena Analysis →
19:15 Modena vs Mantova Analysis →