Spezia vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTB
0-2
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTK
1-1
HT 1-1
Cittadella
İTB
0-3
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Cittadella
İTB
Spezia 5-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia cruised past Cittadella 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Spezia had 55% of the ball to Cittadella's 45%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.10 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spezia and 1.50 for Cittadella.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Cittadella?
Spezia 5-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Cittadella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Spezia 53%, draw 24%, Cittadella 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.