Sassuolo 5-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
20%
4.51
X/2
11%
11.5
X/X
12%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
8%
8.61
2/X
7%
17.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
3.51/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.33
+103% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.0 Crosses 15.9
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.88 xG 1.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
464 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-2 HT 1-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
04.01.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
06.02.2022 Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
29.08.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
24.04.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
23.12.2020 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-3 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
5-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.92 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
446 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo cruised past Sampdoria 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sassuolo had 56% of the ball to Sampdoria's 44%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.92 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sassuolo and 1.67 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Sampdoria?

Sassuolo 5-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 52%, draw 24%, Sampdoria 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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