Catanzaro 2-1 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Dec 2024

Catanzaro
2-1 HT 1-1
Brescia
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Catanzaro vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.71
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
17%
5.64
X/2
12%
6.93
X/X
16%
4.63
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
12%
5.0
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Catanzaro v Brescia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.30/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.38
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.7 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Catanzaro vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Brescia
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
489 Passes 303
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
16.03.2024 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
23.12.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-3 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
18.03.2006 Brescia Brescia 2-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
25.10.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB

Catanzaro 2-1 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-1
AWAY Brescia
2.23 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
442 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro squeezed past Brescia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Catanzaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 57% of the ball to Brescia's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.23 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Catanzaro and 2.00 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Brescia?

Catanzaro 2-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 38%, draw 29%, Brescia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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