Cremonese 0-2 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Dec 2024

Cremonese
0-2 HT 0-1
Reggiana
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cremonese vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.54
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.85
X/1
15%
4.43
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
19%
5.26
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
8.12
2/X
5%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.30
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.9 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cremonese vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.09.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
13.03.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 3-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.11.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
25.10.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC

Cremonese 0-2 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
0-2
AWAY Reggiana
0.72 xG 0.89
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
448 Passes 181
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana beat Cremonese 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cremonese had 68% of the ball to Reggiana's 32%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Cremonese and 1.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Reggiana?

Cremonese 0-2 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 43%, draw 29%, Reggiana 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cremonese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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