Cremonese 1-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 34% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.08
X/2
7%
8.52
X/X
13%
4.52
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.68
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.4pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.53/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.9 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.28 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
13.03.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 3-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.11.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
25.10.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.54 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
385 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and Reggiana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cremonese had 58% of the ball to Reggiana's 42%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.54 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 1.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Reggiana?

Cremonese 1-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 48%, draw 29%, Reggiana 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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