Cittadella 1-2 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

Cittadella
1-2 HT 1-2
Parma
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cittadella vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.02
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
6.49
X/2
15%
4.65
X/X
8%
3.88
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.12
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Parma win — 41%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cittadella v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.20/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.90
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
23.2 Crosses 15.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cittadella vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Parma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
10.04.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
12.11.2022 Parma Parma 3-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.03.2022 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
28.10.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 1-2 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
13.04.2018 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB

Cittadella 1-2 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-2
AWAY Parma
2.08 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 31
33 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma edged past Cittadella 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Parma as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cittadella had 58% of the ball to Parma's 42%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 2.08 to 1.60 — on chances, Cittadella could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cittadella and 1.50 for Parma.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Parma?

Cittadella 1-2 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 34%, draw 25%, Parma 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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