Modena 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.42
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
11%
6.4
X/X
15%
3.5
2/1
9%
33.5
2/2
12%
5.31
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.4 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.99 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
343 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
21.01.2023 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
21.08.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
11.03.2002 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
19.12.2001 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.69 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
296 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Modena vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Cosenza Calcio shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Modena had 50% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 50%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.69 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Modena and 0.80 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Modena vs Cosenza Calcio?

Modena 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Modena 40%, draw 30%, Cosenza Calcio 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Modena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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