Südtirol 0-3 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.62
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
12%
5.7
X/2
11%
4.78
X/X
19%
3.53
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.00/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.30
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.3 Crosses 21.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Venezia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.13 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 530
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Venezia Venezia 2-3 HT 2-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
21.01.2023 Venezia Venezia 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
21.08.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-2 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
25.01.2015 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-3
AWAY Venezia
0.67 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
406 Passes 439
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia ran out comfortable winners over Südtirol 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Venezia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 49% of the ball to Venezia's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.67 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Südtirol and 1.25 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Venezia?

Südtirol 0-3 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 33%, draw 33%, Venezia 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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