FC Bari 1908 3-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
9%
4.14
X/2
10%
7.99
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
10%
6.31
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
FC Bari 1908 win — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.92
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
24.5 Crosses 24.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecco
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
367 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 5
03.12.2023 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
3-1
AWAY Lecco
0.73 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
261 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 got the better of Lecco 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Bari 1908 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 45% of the ball to Lecco's 55%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.73 to 1.11.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Lecco?

FC Bari 1908 3-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 50%, draw 24%, Lecco 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bari 1908) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ BTTS No
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