Pisa 2-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.92
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
10%
4.37
X/2
10%
6.83
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
14%
5.61
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.55
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.1 Crosses 12.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.89 xG 1.07
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
274 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-2 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-0
AWAY Sampdoria
0.84 xG 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
500 Passes 287
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa got the better of Sampdoria 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pisa had 61% of the ball to Sampdoria's 39%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Sampdoria?

Pisa 2-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pisa 41%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
10 Feb 2024
16:00 Modena vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Cremonese vs Reggiana Analysis →
16:00 Südtirol vs Venezia Analysis →
16:00 Cittadella vs Parma Analysis →
16:00 FeralpiSalo vs Palermo Analysis →
18:15 FC Bari 1908 vs Lecco Analysis →