FeralpiSalo 1-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
13%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.7
1/2
11%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
8%
6.59
X/2
10%
4.84
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.03
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 46%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.02/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.98
-9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
19.5 Crosses 22.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Palermo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.79 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 437
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Palermo Palermo 3-0 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB
29.05.2022 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
25.05.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-2
AWAY Palermo
2.25 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
27 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
269 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo edged past FeralpiSalo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Palermo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 47% of the ball to Palermo's 53%, shots finished 27-13, expected goals 2.25 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured FeralpiSalo.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for FeralpiSalo and 2.33 for Palermo.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Palermo?

FeralpiSalo 1-2 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 32%, draw 29%, Palermo 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
10 Feb 2024
16:00 Modena vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Cremonese vs Reggiana Analysis →
16:00 Südtirol vs Venezia Analysis →
16:00 Cittadella vs Parma Analysis →
18:15 FC Bari 1908 vs Lecco Analysis →
18:15 Pisa vs Sampdoria Analysis →