Spezia vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTB
0-2
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTK
1-1
HT 1-1
Cittadella
İTB
0-3
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Cittadella
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
Spezia 4-2 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia beat Cittadella 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Spezia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spezia had 66% of the ball to Cittadella's 34%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.40 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spezia and 1.17 for Cittadella.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Cittadella?
Spezia 4-2 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Cittadella?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spezia 34%, draw 29%, Cittadella 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.