Lecco 1-3 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.58
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
16%
5.09
X/2
10%
5.77
X/X
13%
3.81
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.29
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 36%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.14/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.26
+23% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.2 Crosses 22.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.40 xG 2.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
241 Passes 362
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 3-0 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-3
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.69 xG 2.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 2
292 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio got the better of Lecco 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cosenza Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 54% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 46%, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 2.69 to 2.44.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Cosenza Calcio?

Lecco 1-3 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lecco 37%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
17 Feb 2024
16:00 Parma vs Pisa Analysis →
16:00 Reggiana vs Ternana Analysis →
16:00 FC Bari 1908 vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →
16:00 Spezia vs Cittadella Analysis →
18:15 Catanzaro vs Südtirol Analysis →
18:15 Sampdoria vs Brescia Analysis →