Catanzaro 2-2 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
17%
3.73
X/2
9%
8.07
X/X
13%
3.82
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
15%
7.3
2/X
7%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +9%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.13
+76% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.3 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.46 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-2
AWAY Südtirol
1.92 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
472 Passes 292
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Südtirol shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Catanzaro at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 60% of the ball to Südtirol's 40%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.92 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Südtirol?

Catanzaro 2-2 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 44%, draw 27%, Südtirol 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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