Sampdoria 1-1 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
11%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.97
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.41
X/2
10%
6.86
X/X
14%
3.77
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.54
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.55/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.24
-11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.3 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brescia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.70 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Brescia Brescia 3-1 HT 3-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
01.08.2020 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
12.01.2020 Sampdoria Sampdoria 5-1 HT 2-1 Brescia Brescia İTA
04.12.2014 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTK
14.04.2012 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
07.11.2011 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-1
AWAY Brescia
1.53 xG 0.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
391 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Brescia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 50% of the ball to Brescia's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.53 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sampdoria and 0.83 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Brescia?

Sampdoria 1-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 41%, draw 27%, Brescia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sampdoria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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