Reggiana 0-2 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 Feb 2024

Reggiana
0-2 HT 0-1
Ternana
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Reggiana vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.76
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
20%
4.32
X/2
13%
7.21
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.7
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reggiana v Ternana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.04/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.66
-52% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
28.8 Crosses 22.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Reggiana vs Ternana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ternana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.54 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
402 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Ternana Ternana 3-0 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB

Reggiana 0-2 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-2
AWAY Ternana
1.04 xG 1.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
394 Passes 247
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana got the better of Reggiana 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Reggiana at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Reggiana had 60% of the ball to Ternana's 40%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.04 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Ternana?

Reggiana 0-2 Ternana in the Italy - Serie B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 44%, draw 26%, Ternana 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reggiana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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