Sassuolo 2-0 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
25%
4.28
X/2
7%
10.2
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
7%
8.28
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Sassuolo win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 22%
+15% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
2.71/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.31
+121% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
15.2 Crosses 15.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
291 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.10.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-2 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
19.03.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
26.10.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
26.05.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-3 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
06.01.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-0
AWAY Juve Stabia
0.80 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
273 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo beat Juve Stabia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sassuolo had 50% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 50%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.80 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sassuolo and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Juve Stabia?

Sassuolo 2-0 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 55%, draw 26%, Juve Stabia 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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