Juve Stabia 2-2 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.64
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
12%
6.53
X/2
14%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.12
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.25
2/X
9%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
1.39/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.10
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
20.7 Crosses 14.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
19.03.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
26.10.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
26.05.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-3 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
06.01.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-2
AWAY Sassuolo
1.30 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
331 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia and Sassuolo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 52% of the ball to Sassuolo's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.30 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.75 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Sassuolo?

Juve Stabia 2-2 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 29%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5
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