Modena 2-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.69
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.07
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.59
X/2
14%
5.5
X/X
12%
3.69
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.97
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.22/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.04
-13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
21.0 Crosses 19.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Cremonese
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.41 xG 1.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
298 Passes 486
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
23.12.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 4-0 HT 4-0 Modena Modena İTB
20.10.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 4-2 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTK
17.03.2006 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
25.10.2005 Modena Modena 3-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
2-2
AWAY Cremonese
1.22 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
216 Passes 447
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Modena vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Cremonese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Modena had 37% of the ball to Cremonese's 63%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.22 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Modena and 1.80 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Modena vs Cremonese?

Modena 2-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Modena 34%, draw 28%, Cremonese 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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