Reggiana 0-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 36% vs market 33.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
7%
4.78
X/2
13%
6.51
X/X
17%
3.72
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
13%
5.08
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.17/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
-50% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.6 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.97 xG 1.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
367 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 0-4 HT 0-2 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
11.11.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
20.03.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
12.12.2020 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.93 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
293 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio squeezed past Reggiana 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Cosenza Calcio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Reggiana had 52% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 48%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.93 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cosenza Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Reggiana and 1.75 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Cosenza Calcio?

Reggiana 0-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 35%, draw 32%, Cosenza Calcio 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reggiana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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