Brescia 1-1 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Oct 2024

Brescia
1-1 HT 0-1
Spezia
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Brescia vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.92
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
14%
6.41
X/2
13%
4.82
X/X
13%
3.84
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.28
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brescia v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.38/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.29
+35% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
219 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.5 Crosses 21.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Brescia vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Spezia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
26.09.2023 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.10.2022 Spezia Spezia 3-1 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTK
27.01.2019 Brescia Brescia 4-4 HT 2-2 Spezia Spezia İTB
01.09.2018 Spezia Spezia 3-2 HT 2-2 Brescia Brescia İTB
17.04.2018 Spezia Spezia 0-1 HT 0-1 Brescia Brescia İTB

Brescia 1-1 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
1-1
AWAY Spezia
0.59 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
284 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia and Spezia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Brescia had 54% of the ball to Spezia's 46%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.59 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brescia and 1.67 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Spezia?

Brescia 1-1 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brescia 37%, draw 26%, Spezia 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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