Brescia 0-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.57
X/2
14%
5.43
X/X
11%
3.86
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.88
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.21/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.5 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Spezia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.71 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.10.2022 Spezia Spezia 3-1 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTK
27.01.2019 Brescia Brescia 4-4 HT 2-2 Spezia Spezia İTB
01.09.2018 Spezia Spezia 3-2 HT 2-2 Brescia Brescia İTB
17.04.2018 Spezia Spezia 0-1 HT 0-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
18.11.2017 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
0-0
AWAY Spezia
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia and Spezia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brescia had 58% of the ball to Spezia's 42%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brescia and 1.83 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Spezia?

Brescia 0-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brescia 37%, draw 27%, Spezia 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brescia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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