Sampdoria 1-1 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.17
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
9%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.16
X/X
11%
4.32
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.48
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 42%
-23% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.38/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.71
-15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.3 Crosses 22.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Como
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.33 xG 0.42
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
415 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Como Como 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
24.08.2014 Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-1 HT 2-1 Como Como İTK
16.12.2001 Como Como 3-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-1
AWAY Como
0.32 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 5
232 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Como shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 38% of the ball to Como's 62%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.32 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Como led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sampdoria and 1.67 for Como.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Como?

Sampdoria 1-1 Como in the Italy - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 34%, draw 27%, Como 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Como) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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