Parma 4-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

Parma
4-0 HT 3-0
Lecco
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Parma vs Lecco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 23% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.2
X/1
19%
3.54
X/2
10%
16.55
X/X
7%
7.4
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
6%
12.6
2/X
11%
20.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Lecco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.69
-7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.1 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Parma vs Lecco Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.42 xG 2.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
394 Passes 347
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 2-1 Parma Parma İTB

Parma 4-0 Lecco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
4-0
AWAY Lecco
2.03 xG 0.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
482 Passes 265
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parma vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma ran out comfortable winners over Lecco 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Parma as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Parma had 62% of the ball to Lecco's 38%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 2.03 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Parma vs Lecco?

Parma 4-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Parma 57%, draw 22%, Lecco 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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