Cittadella 1-1 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.27
X/2
9%
7.8
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.03
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.38/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.64
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.6 Crosses 14.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.30 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 275
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
13.12.2015 Cittadella Cittadella 0-2 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-1
AWAY FeralpiSalo
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
245 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and FeralpiSalo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Cittadella had 49% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cittadella and 1.00 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs FeralpiSalo?

Cittadella 1-1 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 45%, draw 27%, FeralpiSalo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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