Cosenza Calcio 4-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.94
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.51
X/2
9%
6.81
X/X
8%
3.72
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
17%
5.52
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
1.36/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.21
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
26.1 Crosses 15.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 369
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
12.02.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
10.09.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
09.03.2003 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
05.10.2002 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
02.12.2001 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
4-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
2.10 xG 1.26
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
179 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio cruised past FC Bari 1908 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cosenza Calcio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 32% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 68%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.10 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.17 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs FC Bari 1908?

Cosenza Calcio 4-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 41%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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