Salernitana 1-1 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Oct 2024

Salernitana
1-1 HT 1-1
Cesena
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Salernitana vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.19
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.04
X/2
10%
6.5
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.59
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salernitana v Cesena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
1.29/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.6 Crosses 14.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Salernitana vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Cesena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
39% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
14.04.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
12.11.2017 Cesena Cesena 3-3 HT 2-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
18.02.2017 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
19.09.2016 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
07.03.2016 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 1-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
24.10.2015 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB

Salernitana 1-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
1-1
AWAY Cesena
0.71 xG 0.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
276 Passes 454
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana and Cesena couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salernitana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Salernitana had 41% of the ball to Cesena's 59%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.71 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salernitana and 1.17 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Cesena?

Salernitana 1-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 41%, draw 27%, Cesena 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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