Sampdoria 1-0 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Feb 2025

Sampdoria
1-0 HT 1-0
Cosenza Calcio
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Sampdoria vs Cosenza Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
12%
4.88
X/2
11%
7.07
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.47
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sampdoria v Cosenza Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.43/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
-6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.2 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Sampdoria vs Cosenza Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
23.02.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
22.10.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
02.03.2003 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-3 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
28.09.2002 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
18.01.2002 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB

Sampdoria 1-0 Cosenza Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-0
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.80 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
186 Passes 246
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria nicked a narrow win over Cosenza Calcio 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sampdoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria had 45% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 55%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.80 to 1.31 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sampdoria and 0.83 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Cosenza Calcio?

Sampdoria 1-0 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 40%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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