Cosenza Calcio 2-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.79
X/2
14%
6.37
X/X
12%
3.97
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.85
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.1 Crosses 16.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.62
55% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
358 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
22.10.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
02.03.2003 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-3 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
28.09.2002 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
18.01.2002 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
02.09.2001 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
2-1
AWAY Sampdoria
0.44 xG 0.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
258 Passes 291
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio edged past Sampdoria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cosenza Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 45% of the ball to Sampdoria's 55%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.44 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.67 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria?

Cosenza Calcio 2-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 40%, draw 26%, Sampdoria 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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