Carrarese 0-2 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.1
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
13%
7.01
X/2
15%
4.66
X/X
12%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.87
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.43/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.51
+81% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
16.0 Crosses 19.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0-2
AWAY Sassuolo
0.58 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
306 Passes 465
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo beat Carrarese 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carrarese had 42% of the ball to Sassuolo's 58%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.58 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Sassuolo?

Carrarese 0-2 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 30%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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