Reggiana 1-3 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Sep 2024

Reggiana
1-3 HT 1-2
Südtirol
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Reggiana vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.15
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.75
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.85
X/2
16%
5.76
X/X
14%
3.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.78
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reggiana v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.11
-58% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.9 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Reggiana vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 430
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
23.12.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 2-3 HT 1-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.01.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
15.09.2019 Südtirol Südtirol 0-3 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
05.01.2014 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC

Reggiana 1-3 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-3
AWAY Südtirol
1.52 xG 1.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
422 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 19
39 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol got the better of Reggiana 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Südtirol made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 59% of the ball to Südtirol's 41%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 1.52 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Reggiana and 1.00 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Südtirol?

Reggiana 1-3 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 36%, draw 28%, Südtirol 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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