Reggiana 1-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
7.0
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.82
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
14%
14.75
X/1
22%
4.84
X/2
15%
5.81
X/X
13%
3.13
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.95
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.04
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.0 Crosses 20.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.49 xG 2.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
237 Passes 466
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 2-3 HT 1-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.01.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
15.09.2019 Südtirol Südtirol 0-3 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
05.01.2014 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-1
AWAY Südtirol
0.98 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
495 Passes 394
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Südtirol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Reggiana had 55% of the ball to Südtirol's 45%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.98 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Reggiana and 1.00 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Südtirol?

Reggiana 1-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 34%, draw 36%, Südtirol 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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